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Analýza čínského socialistického tržního hospodářství - Na zúžení vývoje nebo na okraji kolapsu
Gu, Wangzheng
;
Žamberský, Pavel
(advisor) ;
Taušer, Josef
(referee)
After more than 30 years of fast economic development since the Reform and open up to the world in 1978. Chinas socialist market economy is ranked at the worlds second largest economy by nominal GDP. and the worlds largest economy by purchasing power parity according to the IMF today. In spite of the outstanding economic data. China is facing numbers of problems like overcapacity and high financial risk. The goal of this thesis is to dig into the hidden realities behind the fast economic growth of China mainly through analyzing the economic situation after the 2008-09 Chinese economic stimulus plan. which is known asthe 4 trillion RMB (USD 586 billion) stimulus package announced by the State Council of the Peoples Republic of China on 9 November 2008. It is regarded as an attempt to minimize the impact of the global financial crisis on the worlds second largest economy. However. critics of Chinas stimulus package have blamed it for causing a surge in Chinese debt and overcapacity since 2009. particularly among local governments and state-owned enterprises.
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The Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Unemployment in the UK in the Second Half of the 20th Century
Veverka, Jaroslav
;
Mirvald, Michal
(advisor) ;
Rod, Aleš
(referee)
The main goal of this thesis is to analyse the mutual relationship between the inflation rate and the rate of unemployment in the United Kingdom on quarterly based data 1962-1967. At first this thesis introduces papers and empirical studies of some important authors who formed the concept of Phillips curve. Furthermore, there are described also studies which criticize this macroeconomic concept. Within the regression analysis is researched the mutual relationship with aid of the linear, hyperbolical and the logarithmic regression model. The result of this thesis has confirmed the mutual inverse relationship between the inflation rate and the rate of unemployment in the analysed period of time which implies the existence of the Samuelson-Solow modification of the Phillips curve in the United Kingdom in 1962-1967.
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Expected Regime Change: Transition Toward Nominal Exchange Rate Stability
Brázdik, František
This work presents an extension of a small open economy DSGE model allowing the transition toward a monetary policy regime aimed at exchange rate stability to be described. The model is estimated using the Bayesian technique to fit the properties of the Czech economy. In the scenarios assessed, the monetary authority announces and changes its policy so that it is focused solely on stabilizing the nominal exchange rate after a specific transition period is over. Four representative forms of monetary policy are followed to evaluate their properties over the announced transition period. Welfare loss functions assessing macroeconomic stability are defined, allowing the implications of the transition period regime choice for macroeconomic stability to be assessed. As these experiments show, exchange rate stabilization over the transition period does not deliver the lowest welfare loss. Under the assumptions taken, the strict inflation-targeting regime is identified as the best-performing regime for short transition periods. However, it can be concluded that for longer transition periods the monetary policy regime should respond to changes in the exchange rate.
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